Category Archives: Player and Team Analysis

DIVISION ANALYSIS: AL CENTRAL

Entering the season, the expectations were that the Cleveland Indians would rather easily win the division for the fourth straight year. The Kansas City Royals, the Chicago White Sox, and the Detroit Tigers were rebuilding teams not expected to be competitive, and the Minnesota Twins were expected to at best be Wild Card contenders and at worst a .500 team.

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WHAT EACH PLAYOFF CONTENDING TEAM NEEDS TO DO TO HAVE A BETTER CHANCE AT WINNING THE WORLD SERIES

AL EAST NEW YORK YANKEES The Bronx Bombers need health and that’s the most important thing. The returns of James Paxton, Aaron Judge, Luis Severino, Aaron Hicks and Didi Gregorius should be enough to give them the best chance possible at winning the World Series. TAMPA BAY RAYS Tampa could use another top of the rotation starter, especially with inning

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2019 SEASON PREDICTIONS

It’s that time of year again, who will win each division? Who will win the pennants? Who will win the World Series? I usually get most of my predictions right, but I’m making some surprising picks so who knows this year. AL EAST 1. NEW YORK YANKEES There are some question marks with the health of the rotation, but the

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WHY IS MIKE TROUT CONTENT WITH HIS SITUATION?

Photo courtesy of Google images. A short while back there was a major controversy involving MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred’s comments about Mike Trout. At the time someone on Twitter joked about Trout being someone who “wouldn’t be recognized in a supermarket”. For some reason that comment stayed with me and I’ve since realized why. Major League Baseball’s major issue is

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HOW MUCH WAR DID FREE AGENTS BRING THEIR TEAMS IN 2018?

How much WAR did teams get from free agent acquisitions? For this research, I’m only using players that were acquired by the team via free agency. I’m not including players that signed as international or amateur free agents. NEW YORK YANKEES Pitching WAR: 6.9 Batting WAR: -0.2 Total WAR: 6.7 ATLANTA BRAVES Pitching WAR: 2.3 Batting WAR: 4.1 Total WAR:

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THIS QUIET CHICAGO CUBS OFFSEASON IS UNACCEPTABLE AND WHAT I THINK THAT THEY SHOULD’VE ACTUALLY DONE

The 2016 World Series was one of the best World Series that I ever saw. Despite the fact that I’m not a fan of either the Chicago Cubs or the Cleveland Indians, watching Chicago win their first championship since 1908, was one of the most memorable moments in my time following this great game. That said, it’s disappointing to see

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BAD CONTRACT SWAPS

What are some bad contract swaps that teams could do? I’m sure that the contract swaps that I’m going to list are not unknown to the teams themselves, but I think that it’s interesting to look at them and consider whether they would make sense. I should add that some of these contracts include no-trade clauses and so trades could

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FREE AGENT PITCHERS WHO MAY BE BARGAINS & FLOPS & PLAYERS WHOSE DEFENSE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED THEIR WAR IN 2018

Which free agent pitchers are bargains and which are likely to be busts? I decided to analyze the list. BARGAINS 1. LANCE LYNN Lynn’s fastball velocity improved from 92.6 in 2017 to 94.0 in 2018. His Swing% improves from 44.4% in 2017 to 46.3% in 2018. His K/9 rate improved from 7.4 in 2017 to 9.2 in 2018. He also

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WHY DID THE LOS ANGELES DODGERS UNDERACHIEVE DURING THEIR RECENT RUN OF DIVISION TITLES?

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been on the greatest run in team history, at least as far as winning the division and making the playoffs annually goes. YEAR RECORD RESULT 2013 92-70 won division, lost in NLCS 2014 94-68 won division, lost in NLDS 2015 92-70 won division, lost in NLDS 2016 91-71 won division, lost in NLCS 2017 104-58

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WHAT TEAM STATS DO CHAMPIONSHIP TEAMS HAVE IN COMMON?

I decided to analyze what stats teams that won pennants and championships have in common, in order to better understand what specific attributes make championship teams… well championship teams. I’m listing all World Series and pennant winners (when there was no World Series). R/G = Runs per game. I’m not putting the team’s actual number but rather their rank when

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TOP 25 IMPROVEMENT & TOP 12 REGRESSION CANDIDATES

Let’s take a look at some hitters who will likely improve on their poor performances and those whose good performances are likely to decline. I’m going to specifically look at BABIP to make my selections (the players are not in any particular order). IMPROVEMENT CANDIDATES 1. Ian Kinsler, 2B Los Angeles Angels (.207 BABIP) 2. Khris Davis, DH Oakland Athletics

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WHO SHOULD’VE WON PENNANTS AND DIVISIONS ACCORDING TO PYTHAGOREAN W-L RECORDS

Pythagorean W-L records are W-L records based on runs scored and runs allowed. In other words how things “should’ve” happened. I decided to compile a list of pennants and divisions that “should’ve been won” by a different team based on the Pythagorean W-L records. 1. 1885 NL PENNANT WHO WON: CHICAGO CUBS WHO “SHOULD’VE WON”: NEW YORK GIANTS 2. 1889

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2018 SEASON PREDICTIONS

Tomorrow is opening day and it’s time for me to make my predictions. Will I be right or fail miserably? AL EAST 1. NEW YORK YANKEES 2. BOSTON RED SOX 3. BALTIMORE ORIOLES 4. TORONTO BLUE JAYS 5. TAMPA BAY RAYS ————————————— AL CENTRAL 1. CLEVELAND INDIANS 2. MINNESOTA TWINS 3. KANSAS CITY ROYALS 4. CHICAGO WHITE SOX 5. DETROIT

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5 BOLD PREDICTIONS FOR THIS SEASON

What’s going to happen this season? Every season there are surprises: unexpected breakouts, sudden declines, contenders having terrible seasons, supposedly bad teams making the playoffs…. If I can brag a little, I made some good predictions in the past: I predicted the Chicago White Sox winning their division in 2005 when they were overlooked by the experts; Didi Gregorius’s power

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